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Visitor arrivals are projected to increase to 8.3 million in 2022, 9.2 million in 2023, and 9.8 million in 2024. A few airlines have announced temporary suspension of flights to international destinations. Visitor spending will increase 90.9 percent in 2021, then will increase 48.6 percent in … Mainland buyers decreased by 5.3 percent and foreign purchases decreased by 41.8 percent. January 2021 – Noel at This Hawaii Life, Hawaii resident: “Yes visitors are welcome to Hawaii, providing that they do a pre-Covid test and on some islands, a secondary test each county provides. Due to the additional day associated with leap year, total passenger count in February increased 7.5 percent. By comparison, visitor arrivals between April and September 2020 were only 1.8 percent of the same period a year earlier. “We face a globally driven COVID-19 event that is dynamically evolving,” said DBEDT Director Mike McCartney. The COVID-19 outbreak impacted Hawaii’s tourism significantly since late February. Delta Airlines has reduced the daily flights from Nagoya-Honolulu and Osaka-Honolulu to three flights a week effective March 7 to April 30. However, additions and alterations accounted for 51.4 percent of the total private building permit value. Hawaii will welcome 5.5 million visitors in 2021, an increase of 102.9 percent from the 2020 level. HONOLULU, Hawaii (HawaiiNewsNow) - The trans-Pacific quarantine rules for travelers to Hawaii remains in effect until at least Oct. 1, but one travel expert thinks that will be pushed back again. Hawaii Youth Conservation Corps Summer Program Hiring January 31, 2021 Summer Camp for Youth of Wounded Warriors March 28, 2021 Akamai Summer Internship Program Seeking Applicants February 14, 2021 The forecast was revised downward mainly because of the COVID-19 outbreak that started in January 2020. Compared to the second quarter decline of 13.9 percent, this was a substantial improvement. o: (808) 587-9006 As of Feb. 28, 2021, 17.5 percent of Hawaii’s population had been vaccinated at least with one shot, higher than the U.S. average at 15 percent. In 2019, total air seats to Hawaii increased 2.9 percent and visitor arrivals increased 5.4 percent. 21, 2020. Crude oil price as measured by the New York Mercantile Exchange WTI future price decreased by 11.9 percent in 2019 as compared with 2018. Travelers from the United States, Canada, Japan and South Korea are allowed to bypass Hawaii’s mandatory 10-day quarantine on most islands by following strict pre-travel … The full report is available at: dbedt.hawaii.gov/economic/qser. On the fiscal year basis (fiscal year 2020 started in July 2019), the state general fund tax revenue increased 7.5 percent during the first eight months of fiscal year 2020. Hawaii is forecast to welcome 5.5 million visitors in 2021, an increase of 102.9 percent from the 2020 level. 1/ Some of the indicators are preliminary or estimated such as visitor expenditures, personal income, and gross domestic product. Visitor industry recovery continued into 2021 with 20 percent recovery in January (average daily visitors at 5,550) and 30 percent recovery in February (average daily visitors at 8,760) as compared with the same month in 2019. Also, some of the government projects are waived from the bidding process and are not in the awarded data. The DBEDT Quarterly Statistical and Economic Report contains 136 tables of the most recent quarterly data on Hawaii’s economy as well as explanations of the trends in these data. The lower pace of Hawaii’s economic growth projection also came from a few areas that show slowing or negative growth. HONOLULU, Hawaii (HawaiiNewsNow) - Nearly 14,000 travelers landed on Maui this past weekend, nearing pre-pandemic levels. While Hawaii’s economy is predicted to grow in 2021, the current DBEDT forecast projects that it will take a few years to fully recover to pre-pandemic levels and businesses will continue to face challenges. DBEDT is Hawaii’s resource center for economic and statistical data, business development opportunities, energy and conservation information, and foreign trade advantages. Although most tourists in Hawaii are domestic travelers, lots of people are less likely to hop on a plane after the crisis. Tourism leads to less pessimistic tax forecast for Hawaii By AUDREY McAVOY January 7, 2021 HONOLULU (AP) — Hawaii’s Council on Revenues on Thursday offered a less pessimistic outlook for state tax revenue for the current fiscal year given the way the tourism industry has recovered under the state’s COVID-19 testing program for travelers. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) recent estimates, Hawaii’s real gross domestic product fell by 8.2 percent in the third quarter of 2020, from the same quarter of the previous year. Copyright © 2021, State of Hawaii. Most countries in the world will experience slightly slower growth in 2020 but better growth in 2021. Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism The Essential Travel Forecast Report 2021 (Part 4) Angelina Villa-Clarke. Hawaii Economy at Slower Growth in 2020, Improvements in 2021, About the Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism (DBEDT. Islands Overview; Kauai Hawaii's fourth largest island is called the “Garden Island.”; Oahu The “Heart of Hawaii” is home to Honolulu and much more. The decrease in home sales in 2019 was mainly due to the out-of-state buyers. There's reason to be optimistic, at least as of mid-March 2021. “It has been one year since the onset of COVID-19 and it’s been a tough and challenging time for all of us. The state ended 2020 with a 9.0 percent unemployment rate in December, which was an improvement over the 10.4 percent rate of November. At the end of the year, the value of building permits picked up, increasing 21.9 percent in December over the same month of the previous year. The effects of the 2021 travel season are yet unknown. Home sales to local residents actually increased by 1.9 percent. DBEDT is Hawaii’s resource center for economic and statistical data, business development opportunities, energy and conservation information, and foreign trade advantages. The program will go into effect on May 11, 2021, effectively ending all other coronavirus-related travel restrictions between the islands of Hawai´i, Kaua´i and Maui for those who qualify. As with GDP growth, non-agriculture payroll jobs are not expected to recover to pre-pandemic levels until 2025. Passengers on flights from the U.S. mainland increased 12.1 percent and those on international flights decreased 5.2 percent. Travel Requirements. Public, private, non-profit entities and individuals in Hawaii were allocated more than $10.6 billion in federal funds in 2020. Website: dbedt.hawaii.gov. Starting Saturday, April 17, 2021 travelers from Taiwan and Southern California’s Ontario International Airport may bypass the State of Hawaii’s mandatory 10-day quarantine if they take a COVID-19 test from a trusted testing partner. Projection for payroll job growth is now at -0.2 percent for 2020 and 0.4 percent for the next few years. The decrease was mainly due to the decline of condominium home sales at 7.3 percent while single family home sales increased 6.4 percent. Visitor expenditures will decrease by 3.8 percent in 2020 due to lower daily spending. Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism Hawaii sees high numbers of visitors for spring break, a sign that tourism is on its way to recovery By Samie Solina | March 23, 2021 at 6:42 AM HST - Updated March 23 at 10:55 AM and last updated 2021-03-02 17:35:11-05. Current airline schedules still show that total air seats to Hawaii will increase by 6.0 percent in 2020 after adjusting the flight changes due to the breakout of the COVID-19. The total number of bankruptcy filings in Hawaii declined 8.5 percent in 2020 from 2019, and decreased 24.8 percent in Jan. 2021. DBEDT’s mission is to achieve a Hawaii economy that embraces innovation and is globally competitive, dynamic and productive, providing opportunities for all Hawaii’s citizens. The Hawaii Tourism Authority (HTA) has published the 2021-2023 Hawaii Island Destination Management Action Plan (DMAP). A new annual Hawaii hotel forecast prepared by STR for the Hawaii Tourism Authority estimates that by the end of 2021, statewide occupancy will … With all these changes, DBEDT expects that visitor arrivals for 2020 will decrease by 3.3 percent for 2020 to 10.1 million visitors. In the report, DBEDT lowered Hawaii’s economic growth forecast for 2020 to 0.5 percent from the 1.2 percent projected in the 4th quarter of 2019. Media Contacts: Hawaii’s real GDP growth is expected to increase 1.4% in both 2020 and 2021. Furthermore, legislation is being considered for a third stimulus package of $1.9 trillion, that includes an additional $1,400 stimulus checks for qualified people. Both visitor arrivals and expenditures will recover in 2021 with 4 percent increase in arrivals at 10.5 million and 4.4 percent increase in expenditures at $18 billion. A survey conducted in December 2020 by DBEDT and 16 private partners indicated that 81.3 percent of Hawaii businesses expected loss of business revenues in 2021. General excise and individual income taxes accounted for more than 85 percent of the state general fund revenue. The U.S. economy is still on an expansion path. Posted at 5:35 PM, Mar 02, 2021 . Travel Requirements Overview; Travel Guide; Health & Safety Protocols; Islands. The forecast was revised downward mainly because of the COVID-19 outbreak that started in January 2020. While final estimates of economic growth have not been released yet, DBEDT estimates that Hawaii’s real GDP fell by approximately 7.9 percent in 2020, a smaller decline than the 11.7 percent contraction forecast in the previous quarter. For the global economy, all countries will have firm GDP growth in 2021 including Canada (+4.6 percent), Taiwan (+4.3 percent), South Korea (+3.4 percent), and Japan (+2.5 percent). According to U.S. Census Bureau’s latest monthly retail data, home-related store sales showed significant gains in October 2020 over the same month of the previous year; particularly in Furniture and Home Furnishings (+19.3 percent), Building Materials (+16.1 percent), and Electronics and Appliance were (+8.8 percent). Honolulu inflation rate as measured by the Consumer Price Index for Urban Honolulu Consumers was 1.6 percent in 2019, lower than expected, mainly due to a decrease in energy prices. These rates are much higher than the average Hawaii unemployment rate of 2.5 percent between 2017 and 2019. Visitor arrivals are not expected to reach 2019 levels until 2025. I can see positive and encouraging signs ahead for Hawaii’s economic prosperity with Hawaii’s Safe Travels program fully in place and the aggressive rollout of our statewide vaccination program, coupled with the fact that we have the lowest number of new COVID-19 cases in the country. There were 92,400 fewer non-agriculture private payroll jobs in the fourth quarter of 2020 compared with the same quarter of 2019. At the same time we are planning for a recovery action plan when Hawaii’s communities are ready and the visitors in our major markets are ready to visit Volatility in the market will likely continue until COVID-19 becomes controlled.”. The monthly news release reports highlights of preliminary visitor characteristics, expenditures, and airseats at the statewide level and for the top four major marketing areas (U.S. West, U.S. East, Japan and Canada). The economic expansion path will continue with a 3.3 percent increase in 2022, 2.3 percent in 2023 and 1.8 percent in 2024. According to an estimate by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), Hawaii’s economy grew by 1.1 percent during the first three quarters of 2019 while the U.S. economy growth was 2.3 percent during the same period. Despite the pandemic, Utilities had strong GDP growth in the third quarter, increasing 10.2 percent over the same quarter of the previous year. The Euro area’s real GDP is predicted to increase at 4.4 percent in 2021 over the previous year. Hawaiian Airlines will temporary suspend the three weekly flights between Tokyo’s Haneda and Kona, as well as the four flights per week from Haneda to Honolulu between March 28 and April 29. However, in 2020, personal income surged due to government transfers related to unemployment insurance payments and other CARES ACT funds, which more than offset declines in wages and salaries. The good news in the construction area is that, after a few decades of planning, the Koa Ridge project started applying for building permits in mid-February to prepare for the site. The U.S. economy is expected to recover faster in 2021 with an economic growth rate projected at 4.9 percent in the February 2021 Blue Chip Indicators, which is higher than the projection made in December 2020 for 2021 at 4.0 percent. Given all these signs, I am now more optimistic about Hawaii’s social, environmental, and economic prosperity in the future.”. (808) 586-2470 As a result, it is likely that the holiday season of 2020 will be slower than normal. Statement of Director Mike McCartney Although the value of additions and alterations permits increased by 12.7 percent, it could not offset the decrease in other two categories. The value of private building permits decreased 1.4 percent in 2019, indicating a slowing down in private construction activity in 2020. Forecasting Results Phone: (808) 587-9006 While tourism is projected to recover as vaccine distribution increases, conditions remain challenging. It’s our opportunity to be open to candid community discussions, to co-create a new future, a Hawaii 2.0 that is more resilient, diversified and sustainable so the generations that come after us can also choose to call Hawaii home. Last month, about 8,000 travelers arrived in Hawaii each day, which is about one-quarter of the pre=pandemic number of December 2019. HONOLULU—The Department of Business, Economic Development and Tourism (DBEDT) released its first quarter 2021 Statistical and Economic Report today. The COVID-19 outbreak impacted Hawaii’s tourism significantly since late February. DBEDT projects that Hawaii’s economy will experience improvement in 2021, with a projected 2.7 percent increase in real gross domestic product (GDP). Media Contacts: Expenditures includes supplementary expenditures. “Due to the additional day in February this year and the strong visitor growth in February, tax revenue collection in March this year is expected to be good.”. The contracts awarded few years ago may still be in construction this year. See this forecast chart on economic indicators forward to 2021. Through its attached agencies, the department fosters planned community development, creates affordable workforce housing units in high-quality living environments, and promotes innovation sector job growth. “The $858.9 million tax collection in the state general fund in January 2020 was the record high monthly level in Hawaii’s history. For 2021, the consensus for the U.S. economic growth was at 2.0 percent. The second federal economic stimulus package of $900 billion provided qualified individuals with a $600 stimulus check, extended the supplemental $300 weekly unemployment benefit, and allocated additional funds for the Paycheck Protection Program. HONOLULU – Hawaii’s visitor industry continues to be severely impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. Statewide volume of home sales during 2019, including the ones through multiple listing services and the ones by other means, decreased 1.5 percent from 2018. About the Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism (DBEDT) ; Molokai The island of Molokai remains true to its island roots. Value of government contracts awarded also decreased by 69.5 percent in 2019, however, this may not indicate a decrease in government construction since government contracts usually take multiple years to complete. Since tax filing lags the activity by a month, the tax increase in January 2020 reflected the economic activities of December 2019,” said State Economist Eugene Tian. Visitor Highlights. Travel Forecast for 2021. The rate is projected to be 8.2 percent in 2021, 6.9 percent in 2022, 6.2 percent in 2023, and 5.7 percent in 2023. Government contracts awarded peaked in 2018 with $1.9 billion worth of projects awarded. 2/ The 2019 values are estimated based on actual values in the first three quarters of 2019. m: (808) 824-0134. Dr. Eugene Tian United Airlines will cancel the Sunday flights from Guam to Honolulu between April 5 and April 26. According to data released by the BEA, Hawaii’s personal income increased 3.3 percent during the first three quarters of 2019, lower than the growth rate of previous 5 years (2014-2018) which averaged 4.5 percent per year. Through its attached agencies, the department fosters planned community development, creates affordable workforce housing units in high-quality living environments, and promotes innovation sector job growth. Copyright © 2021, State of Hawaii. The annual average growth for the general fund revenue during the past 20 years (calendar year 1998-2018) was 4.5 percent. dbedt.Hawaii.gov/economic/, Charlene Chan Hawaii’s Summer Tourism Season Is Looking Promising But economists say state officials need to do more to help the economy recover, including better … One area of strength in retail was home-related spending. Nominal personal income is expected to decrease in 2021 by 2.9 percent, following a 7.5 percent increase in 2020. 2/ Visitors who came to Hawaii by air or by cruise ship. The construction industry held firm in the third quarter, with a comparable GDP level to the same quarter of the previous year (-0.1 percent). All rights reserved. Dr. Eugene Tian The forecasts for nominal personal income also revised downward from the previous quarter projection. Maui Surf Forecast for April 05, 2021 April 5, 2021 Maui Surf Forecast for April 06, 2021 April 6, 2021 E-Mail Newsletters Receive daily or weekly updates via e-mail. Hawaii Island Destination Management Action Plan 2021-2023 COVID-19 (Novel Coronavirus) Updates Pre-travel testing program allows travelers to proceed without quarantine. It appears that, as consumers spent more time at home, they focused on home improvement. Hawaii is expected to receive more than $7 billion federal funds in 2021. The total passenger count decreased by 8.4 percent. According to preliminary statistics released by the Hawaii Tourism Authority (HTA), the average daily census showed that there were 90,776 visitors in Hawaii on any given day in February 2021, compared to 250,052 visitors per day in February 2020. The emergence and resilience of our kamaaina economy is hopeful with Oahu now transitioned to Tier 3, which means more commerce and community activity and the expected infusion of $10 billion in federal stimulus available in 2021.We must continue on this path of attacking the virus, respecting and not fearing it, then reopening our public schools and welcoming visitors back to a different and refreshed Hawaiian Islands. The December increase in building permit values was led by Residential (+43.3 percent); followed by Commercial and Industrial (+32.0 percent) and Additions and Alterations (+6.5 percent). ... Today in the final article in my Travel Trend 2021 series, ... Hawaii Travel Restrictions Have Been Updated. Hawaii remained the lowest per capita new COVID-19 cases in the nation as of Feb. 28, 2021 and both the national and Hawaii new cases have declined over 50 percent in the past 30 days. This expansion is the longest in U.S. history and Hawaii’s economy has been following the U.S. business cycle since 2000. Other industries that grew in the third quarter were Finance and Insurance (+7.3 percent), Military (+3.3 percent), and Federal Civilian (+2.7 percent). Initial unemployment claims during the week ending Feb. 20, 2021 was 2,891, the lowest since Mar. Retail Trade fared better than other tourism-related industries, with a decline of 3.5 percent in the third quarter. The improvements in the economy were attributed to the following facts and expectations: Current economic conditions DBEDT’s mission is to achieve a Hawaii economy that embraces innovation and is globally competitive, dynamic and productive, providing opportunities for all Hawaii’s citizens. Visitor arrivals will increase to 8.3 million in 2022, 9.2 million in 2023, and 9.8 million in 2024. Department of Business, Economic Development & Tourism, Real personal income (millions of 2012$) ³, Non-agricultural wage & salary jobs (thousands), Real gross domestic product (millions of 2012$), Gross domestic product deflator (2012=100). The Safe Travels Program brought in 496,186 visitors in the fourth quarter of 2020, representing a recovery of about 20 percent from the same period in 2019. The UHERO forecast, which was released for publication today, does have an alternate, more optimistic scenario for a Hawaii economy rebound — 4.2% growth next year — … Hawaiian Airlines suspended Seoul-Honolulu flights between March 2 and April 30, 2020. Forecast for Big Island Leeward Shores Today Wednesday Surf Surf AM PM AM PM West Facing 0-2 0-2 0-2 0-2 South Facing 1-3 1-3 1-3 1-3 TODAY Weather Mostly sunny until … (808) 586-2470 For the overall U.S. economy, initial BEA estimates indicate that the real GDP declined 3.5 percent in 2020 compared with the previous year. Hawaii is forecast to welcome 5.5 million visitors in 2021, an increase of 102.9 percent from the 2020 level. Expenditures includes supplementary expenditures. On a calendar year basis, state general fund revenue increased 6.2 percent in calendar year 2019. The decline in jobs was the highest for Accommodation (-26,300 jobs or a 61.9 percent decrease), Food and Drinking Places (-23,900 jobs or a 33.9 percent decrease), Transportation, Warehousing & Utilities (-8,800 jobs or a 25.3 percent decrease), Professional & Business Services (-8,500 jobs or a 11.3 percent decrease), and Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation (-3,700 jobs or a 27.4 percent decrease). The total residential units permitted during 2019 decreased by 1,252 units or 26 percent.

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